Chacarita Juniors vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
CHA
52%
28%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
SMA
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHA
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
SMA
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 1
CHA
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 0
MER
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
RAF
24%
29%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RAF
5 - 1
CAI
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RAF
1 - 0
PAT
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 1
RAF
37%
29%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |