Oberliga Baden-Württemberg round 20

CfR Pforzheim vs ATSV Mutschelbach analysis

CfR Pforzheim ATSV Mutschelbach
39 ELO 33
4.3% Tilt -8.3%
4664º General ELO ranking 47674º
213º Country ELO ranking 2383º
ELO win probability
56.9%
CfR Pforzheim
19.4%
Draw
23.7%
ATSV Mutschelbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
CfR Pforzheim
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.7%
Win probability
ATSV Mutschelbach
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

CfR Pforzheim
Their league position
ATSV Mutschelbach
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
14º
41
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC 08 Villingen
72
72
100%
Göppinger SV
69
69
100%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
68
68
100%
CfR Pforzheim
64
64
100%
Nottingen
57
60
100%
FSV Hollenbach
49
49
63%
Normannia Gmünd
48
48
63%
TSV Essingen
46
46
100%
VfR Mannheim
43
43
59%
Oberachern
10º
42
42
10º
59%
TSG Backnang
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Ravensburg
13º
40
41
12º
22%
ATSV Mutschelbach
12º
41
41
13º
63%
Bissingen
15º
36
37
14º
37%
Reutlingen
14º
37
37
15º
37%
FC Holzhausen
16º
36
36
16º
59%
Denzlingen
17º
36
36
17º
59%
Offenburger FV
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CfR Pforzheim
ATSV Mutschelbach
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 63%
Relegation
0% 37%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

CfR Pforzheim
ATSV Mutschelbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CfR Pforzheim
CfR Pforzheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2024
BAL
TSG Balingen
0 - 3
CfR Pforzheim
PFO
60%
20%
20%
39 43 4 0
24 Nov. 2023
GOP
Göppinger SV
3 - 2
CfR Pforzheim
PFO
54%
24%
22%
39 42 3 0
11 Nov. 2023
PFO
CfR Pforzheim
2 - 2
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
58%
20%
22%
39 35 4 0
04 Nov. 2023
TSV
TSV Essingen
3 - 2
CfR Pforzheim
PFO
16%
19%
65%
40 20 20 -1
28 Oct. 2023
PFO
CfR Pforzheim
4 - 4
Offenburger FV
OFF
84%
11%
5%
41 22 19 -1

Matches

ATSV Mutschelbach
ATSV Mutschelbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
BAH
Bahlinger SC
3 - 1
ATSV Mutschelbach
ATS
64%
19%
18%
35 48 13 0
10 Feb. 2024
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
2 - 1
TSG Balingen
BAL
32%
21%
48%
35 43 8 0
25 Nov. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
4 - 4
Oberachern
OBE
60%
19%
22%
35 31 4 0
18 Nov. 2023
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
2 - 4
ATSV Mutschelbach
ATS
49%
21%
30%
33 35 2 +2
11 Nov. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
1 - 4
Reutlingen
REU
68%
16%
16%
33 25 8 0