CF Villanovense vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIL
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIL
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
GRA
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
VIL
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RJA
1 - 2
EXT
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
RJA
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
RJA
0 - 0
MUR
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
RJA
64%
23%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |