Villanovense vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SEV
3 - 2
VIL
45%
26%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAL
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAD
3 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
LIN
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SRQ
1 - 1
VIL
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RCF
2 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 1
RCF
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RCF
1 - 0
PON
82%
12%
5%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 2
RCF
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RCF
1 - 1
IZA
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |