Villanovense vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 0
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
JUM
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
36%
31%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
SEV
8%
17%
76%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MAL
2 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 3
MAL
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
MEL
19%
27%
54%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
REC
2 - 1
MAL
65%
23%
13%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAL
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |