Villanovense vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
CRD
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
VIL
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
LUC
61%
22%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 3
PAL
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
MEL
27%
28%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CRD
1 - 0
ARR
28%
27%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 0
LOR
30%
29%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
UCA
29%
30%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |