CF Villanovense vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PLA
4 - 1
VIL
26%
25%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAM
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
COR
1 - 3
VIL
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
EST
1 - 1
VIL
11%
20%
69%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ARR
0 - 1
SAM
29%
28%
42%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VIL
4 - 0
ARR
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ARR
2 - 4
IMP
28%
25%
47%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
OLI
2 - 2
ARR
64%
22%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ARR
1 - 2
CER
16%
26%
58%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |