Villafames vs Morella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
20.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+178%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
POB
0 - 4
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 2
TRA
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BNC
1 - 2
VIL
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
RAF
17%
18%
65%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIN
1 - 1
VIL
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
ORP
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 0
CDB
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
POB
0 - 1
MOR
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
TRA
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BNC
4 - 0
MOR
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |