Carrús UD Ilicitana vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+1193%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrús UD Ilicitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
UNI
71%
16%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
THD
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SPO
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ELD
3 - 1
UNI
86%
9%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 1
THD
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELD
9%
16%
76%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 2
RED
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 3
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |