Belenenses SAD vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEL
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCP
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TON
0 - 1
BEL
43%
27%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 1
OLI
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VST
1 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 1
VST
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
VST
2 - 0
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
VST
3 - 2
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
VST
3 - 2
EXT
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |