Orba vs El Verger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 0
ORB
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ORB
1 - 1
BEB
85%
9%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CLG
5 - 0
ORB
10%
15%
76%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ORB
5 - 3
SIM
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
ORB
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
El Verger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VER
3 - 0
JAV
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 4
VER
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CLG
0 - 4
VER
6%
12%
82%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
VER
6 - 1
BEN
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 4
VER
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |