Unión Molinense vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 1
MAR
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 2
MSM
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
MSM
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MSM
1 - 0
PLU
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 1
MSM
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAL
29%
26%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
SAN
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAL
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
PIN
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |