CF Marines vs Atl. Villar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
76.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Marines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 1
CFM
50%
20%
29%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CFM
0 - 7
SIL
7%
12%
80%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Villar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
BET
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SCV
1 - 2
VIL
38%
21%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SLP
4 - 2
VIL
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 0
SPO
73%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 2
VIL
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | -1 |