Mandia vs Narahio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CLU
1 - 2
MAN
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 3
CCR
28%
22%
49%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
MOE
2 - 0
MAN
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
CAP
17%
19%
65%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RAP
6 - 0
MAN
58%
20%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Narahio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 0
EST
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
NAR
47%
22%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 1
MON
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CLU
2 - 2
NAR
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 2
CCR
33%
22%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |