Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 5-2
Lorca Deportiva vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 2
LOR
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
JER
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
JER
1 - 1
LOR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
BET
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BET
2 - 0
LOR
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 2
LOR
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GIM
1 - 2
MEX
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
GIM
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
SDL
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SDL
1 - 0
MEX
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |