Lorca Deportiva vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
80.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.6%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 1
CAP
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MSM
2 - 0
LOR
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IMP
1 - 3
LOR
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UCA
1 - 0
LOR
32%
25%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
EIB
5 - 1
VAD
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZAR
2 - 3
EIB
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EIB
1 - 1
HUE
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SDA
1 - 2
EIB
22%
27%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 3
EIB
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |