Lorca Deportiva vs Aguilas FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
10º
1º
64
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MSM
1 - 0
LOR
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
LOR
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
UCA
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 2
LOR
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
6 - 0
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Aguilas FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
SAN
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UCA
3 - 2
AFC
55%
22%
22%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
IMP
30%
25%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
AFC
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
6 - 0
DPM
86%
10%
5%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |