T. Moraira vs Ath. La Vall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
77.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
T. Moraira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
JOV
0 - 12
BEN
7%
13%
80%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
JOV
85%
10%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JOV
0 - 2
PDA
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CDI
6 - 0
JOV
47%
20%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JOV
0 - 6
XIX
21%
19%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ath. La Vall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ATH
3 - 2
TMO
83%
11%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CFB
1 - 3
ATH
7%
13%
81%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ATH
0 - 0
CDC
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 2
ATH
9%
17%
74%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 0
ROT
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |