Fomento Castellón vs ASFID Vila-real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
20%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fomento Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
PDC
4 - 0
FCA
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 1
DRA
24%
19%
57%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AND
1 - 2
FCA
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FCA
0 - 4
JAS
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SAP
2 - 0
FCA
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ASFID Vila-real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ASF
3 - 3
HVR
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EVR
4 - 1
ASF
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
PDC
1 - 2
ASF
77%
13%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
AND
2 - 4
ASF
44%
20%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ASF
1 - 6
DRA
27%
20%
53%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -2 |