Faura vs Nules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SAG
2 - 0
FAU
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CDA
5 - 3
FAU
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FAU
5 - 2
BUR
27%
21%
53%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
XIL
3 - 1
FAU
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAU
3 - 1
ART
41%
23%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NUL
2 - 1
CDA
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 1
NUL
42%
24%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
NUL
2 - 1
XIL
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ART
0 - 1
NUL
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NUL
4 - 0
PUI
37%
22%
42%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |