E. Castellon A vs CF Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
E. Castellon A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
IBA
2 - 3
EST
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
EST
3 - 4
BEN
48%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
EST
3 - 0
MOR
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
TRR
4 - 0
EST
38%
24%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
EST
2 - 2
ORP
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CF Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 1
TRR
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 1
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIL
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
BNC
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CDB
0 - 2
ALC
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |