Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
85.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
15%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.8%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
RAB
0 - 0
ESA
8%
18%
74%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
FAB
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SCP
0 - 0
ESA
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
ANA
0 - 1
ESA
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ESA
2 - 1
PRA
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
TON
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
SLB
14%
20%
67%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 1
POR
89%
9%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GFC
0 - 2
SLB
7%
16%
78%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |