Castalla vs Beniarres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
26.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
AGU
16%
17%
66%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BNY
2 - 2
CAS
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
VED
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ONI
2 - 2
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
ESI
51%
20%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Beniarres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AYE
6 - 0
BEN
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
BOC
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UDF
4 - 1
BEN
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
RAY
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COC
0 - 5
BEN
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |