CF Benfica vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
1DE
2 - 0
CFB
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CFB
1 - 0
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 0
CFB
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CFB
0 - 1
FAR
15%
24%
61%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 5
TOR
20%
23%
58%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 0
UDL
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 2
MAF
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 2
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |