CF Benfica vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
CFB
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 0
FAT
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 0
CFB
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CFB
2 - 2
1DE
37%
27%
37%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
8 - 2
CFB
75%
15%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
UDL
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 0
LOU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAS
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 2
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |