OC Cesson vs AF Virois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
14º
7º
48
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OC Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
VIT
16%
19%
66%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CES
1 - 5
LOC
35%
23%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 3
CES
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SBR
3 - 2
CES
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CES
4 - 0
DOL
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
VIT
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 0
USF
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
SAI
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASB
6 - 2
AFV
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 3
FBB
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |