Cesarense vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CES
2 - 1
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
CES
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CES
2 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 1
CES
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CES
0 - 0
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
4 - 1
GOU
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 2
GAF
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 0
GOU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOU
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
65%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +6 |