Cesantes CD vs Arcade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesantes CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 5
CES
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CES
4 - 1
SAD
20%
19%
61%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
3 - 0
CES
72%
16%
12%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
SAL
30%
22%
49%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CER
4 - 1
CES
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ARC
5 - 0
PRE
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 0
ARC
42%
22%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COT
1 - 4
ARC
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARC
5 - 0
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAD
1 - 1
ARC
27%
22%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |