Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
CCP
1 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
CCP
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CCP
3 - 1
2DE
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
12O
0 - 1
CCP
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
CCP
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 3
LIB
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |