Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
LQE
0 - 1
CCP
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CCP
3 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
31%
28%
42%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 3
CCP
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
LIB
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPC
0 - 4
LIB
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
LIB
6 - 1
LQE
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |