Cerro Porteño vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 2
CCP
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 3
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
IND
1 - 3
CCP
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
AME
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
24%
28%
49%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 7
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |