PF Cerro Por. vs Presidente Hayes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GEN
0 - 1
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
FER
2 - 4
CER
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
CER
0 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
SPT
1 - 0
CER
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
CER
0 - 0
RÑU
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Presidente Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
PHA
2 - 2
RÑU
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
GEN
0 - 0
PHA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
PHA
1 - 3
BEN
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
FER
0 - 1
PHA
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
PHA
0 - 2
SPO
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |