PF Cerro Por. vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CER
1 - 4
GUA
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
CER
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
NAC
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 0
CER
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CER
0 - 1
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |