PF Cerro Por. vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
46.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
CER
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CER
3 - 1
RÑU
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LQE
3 - 0
CER
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |