PF Cerro Por. vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 3
CER
76%
16%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
LIB
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAR
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
3 - 0
LQE
75%
18%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
0 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
CCP
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |