Cerro Largo vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
CSC
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 3
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BVS
1 - 2
CEL
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
FEN
2 - 3
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 1
BVS
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ETS
3 - 0
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
3 - 1
REN
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 1
DAN
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |