Cerro Largo vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
CEL
47%
29%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 1
TOR
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
DEF
0 - 0
CEL
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
0 - 0
CER
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
MWA
3 - 0
CEL
48%
28%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
DYJ
1 - 2
TIG
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BOC
4 - 0
DYJ
39%
28%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
DYJ
1 - 0
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 1
DYJ
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
BEL
2 - 0
DYJ
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |