Cerro Largo vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 1
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
MWA
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 1
CEL
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 1
JUV
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
LFC
4 - 3
CSC
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SUD
2 - 3
CSC
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CSC
6 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ETS
1 - 2
CSC
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DEP
1 - 1
CSC
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |