A. Cerro Águila vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 0
SOL
43%
25%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SOL
2 - 0
OSU
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CDP
1 - 1
SOL
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SOL
3 - 0
LCF
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 4
SOL
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
UDB
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 3
EST
42%
25%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
DHE
2 - 2
EST
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |