A. Cerro Águila vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CCF
4 - 3
SOL
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SOL
3 - 1
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CAR
3 - 1
SOL
52%
24%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SOL
1 - 1
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SOL
0 - 0
MON
47%
24%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SFE
1 - 2
COR
48%
26%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CRD
0 - 2
SFE
46%
26%
29%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SFE
2 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 1
SFE
42%
28%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SFE
1 - 1
JER
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |