Cerrito vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
CSC
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CSC
1 - 1
CEL
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 0
CSC
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LFC
3 - 0
CSC
70%
18%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CSC
0 - 0
DEP
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 2
NAC
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CSY
1 - 2
SUD
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SUD
1 - 2
TOR
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SUD
1 - 1
PEÑ
23%
28%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
SUD
41%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |