Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
KAA
0 - 1
CER
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
KYO
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
GAM
2 - 3
CER
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
YFM
2 - 2
CER
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
URA
2 - 0
CER
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 0
FCT
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
KAW
1 - 0
FCT
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FCT
0 - 0
AVI
54%
26%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
FCT
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCT
0 - 2
TOK
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |