AFC Champions League Elite Grupo G round 1

Cerezo Osaka vs Arema FC analysis

Cerezo Osaka Arema FC
78 ELO 57
14.8% Tilt 13.9%
404º General ELO ranking 4341º
12º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
85.7%
Cerezo Osaka
10.4%
Draw
3.9%
Arema FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
Cerezo Osaka
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.9%
Win probability
Arema FC
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cerezo Osaka
-1%
+4%
Arema FC

ELO progression

Cerezo Osaka
Arema FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2010
CER
Cerezo Osaka
6 - 2
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
53%
24%
23%
77 76 1 0
28 Nov. 2010
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
0 - 4
Cerezo Osaka
CER
20%
24%
57%
77 58 19 0
23 Nov. 2010
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
1 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
CER
63%
20%
17%
76 83 7 +1
20 Nov. 2010
CER
Cerezo Osaka
2 - 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
48%
26%
26%
76 79 3 0
17 Nov. 2010
KAA
Kashima Antlers
2 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
58%
23%
20%
76 84 8 0

Matches

Arema FC
Arema FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2011
ARE
Arema FC
4 - 0
Persiwa Wamena
PER
45%
25%
31%
55 55 0 0
06 Feb. 2011
ARE
Arema FC
1 - 0
Persipura
PER
46%
25%
30%
55 55 0 0
26 Jan. 2011
SRI
Sriwijaya FC
1 - 1
Arema FC
ARE
56%
24%
21%
55 55 0 0
23 Jan. 2011
PER
Persib
1 - 1
Arema FC
ARE
54%
24%
22%
55 55 0 0
19 Jan. 2011
ARE
Arema FC
3 - 0
Persiba Balikpapan
PER
50%
25%
26%
55 55 0 0