Cerezo Osaka vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
54.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
SHI
1 - 2
CER
53%
23%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
CER
1 - 2
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
OIT
3 - 0
CER
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CER
1 - 0
KAA
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
FCT
1 - 1
CER
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
ALB
0 - 3
URA
65%
20%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
NAG
1 - 1
ALB
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ALB
0 - 1
TOK
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
JEF
2 - 1
ALB
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
KAA
2 - 2
ALB
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |