Céres vs Teresópolis FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
CER
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
TIG
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
CER
1 - 2
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SEC
4 - 2
CER
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
CER
3 - 0
ANG
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Teresópolis FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 3
RBC
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
TFC
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
TFC
3 - 3
QUI
19%
24%
58%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 1
TFC
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 2
TIG
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |