Céres vs Rio Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
CER
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CER
3 - 0
CEC
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CER
0 - 3
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
CER
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
AFC
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
RBC
3 - 1
SCR
53%
23%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
RBC
1 - 0
TIG
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MES
0 - 1
RBC
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
RBC
0 - 1
SER
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
RBC
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |