CCD Cerceda vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CER
1 - 1
BOI
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 3
CER
41%
26%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CER
1 - 0
VER
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ORD
0 - 3
CER
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CER
3 - 1
GAL
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
RCV
3 - 1
ARO
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 0
NOI
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALO
0 - 0
ARO
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 1
RIB
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 0
ARO
55%
24%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |