Ceramica AC vs Brasil Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceramica AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
AEG
1 - 2
CAC
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAC
0 - 1
ESP
37%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
AIM
1 - 1
CAC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 1
SAP
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 0
GFC
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
GFC
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
AEG
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
AIM
0 - 1
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 0
BRA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |