Pernambucano Championship 2 Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Centro Limoeirense vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Limoeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AEB
0 - 0
LIM
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LIM
1 - 2
AFO
18%
21%
62%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VCR
4 - 1
LIM
67%
19%
15%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
LIM
0 - 0
ISC
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TFC
3 - 1
LIM
50%
22%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AFO
4 - 0
FEC
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LIM
1 - 2
AFO
18%
21%
62%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AFO
2 - 1
CAB
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
FEC
0 - 0
AFO
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AFO
3 - 0
AEB
67%
18%
16%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |