Central SC vs Serrano PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
SAL
1 - 0
CEN
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CEN
3 - 3
ACA
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 25 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
YPI
3 - 2
CEN
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
62%
20%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1987 |
GRE
3 - 0
CEN
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Serrano PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
SER
0 - 3
SAN
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
17%
21%
63%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
SPO
3 - 0
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 3
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
SER
3 - 4
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |